Simulation of Evolution Dynamics of Social System. Ethnic Solidarity Level [Extended Abstract]

In paper the hierarchical approach to construct the simulation model of complex social system is presented. We consider the society as a complex system. It has the hierarchical structure with following subsystem levels: biosphere, ethnosphere, sociosphere, psychosphere, anthroposphere. The next level is built on previous one by hierarchical rule. The main of presented research is a demonstration of creating the society model on ethnic solidarity level. This model describes the behavior of ethnic system as the separate part of general complex social system. The ethnic system includes a few ethnoses and provides their interactions. The interactions transmit by ethnic fields. The model is described by system of parabolic differential equations. The software TERRI is used for the forecast of arising the ethnic conflicts. Based on simulation result the researcher can compute the direction of ethnic field distribution and the most probable points of skirmish between ethnoses.